FX168讯 澳洲银行(CBA)分析师Joseph Capurso在接受外媒采访时建议,在接近200日移动均线时均卖出
澳元(0.7269,0.0006,0.08%)/美元和
纽元(0.6753,0.0002,0.03%)/美元。
澳洲联邦银行在本周二(10月20日)公布的报告中指出,因全球供应激增,且经济增长疲软,导致大宗商品价格低迷,反映出全球大宗商品需求不振。
报告继续指出,近期除
日元(119.898,0.003,0.00%)以外的亚洲货币均表现疲软,且全球外汇储备下降,这对
澳元(0.7269,0.0006,0.08%)构成的压力比
纽元(0.6753,0.0002,0.03%)更大。
该行还指出,随着新兴市场面临的风险上升,庞大的经常帐赤字不断扩大,大宗商品价格面临的下行风险意味着经常帐赤字还可能进一步扩大。
但上述抛售
澳元(0.7269,0.0006,0.08%)和
纽元(0.6753,0.0002,0.03%)的观点也有风险,即美联储(Fed)可能推迟到2016年才升息,市场定价显示澳洲联储(RBA)和新西兰联储(RBA)进一步降息的可能性消失。
责任编辑:forex