DAILY NEWSLETTER

2014年5月1日

Daily Newsletter // 2014/5/1

欧元(1.3866，0.0009，0.06%)交叉盘上扬，英镑(1.6874，0.0024，0.14%)继续反弹

据Markit报告显示，英国4月制造业扩张速度加快，导致英镑(1.6874，0.0024，0.14%)创下新高1.6920。3月M4货币供应量回落2.3%，录得2004年以来的最快跌幅。在欧元(1.3866，0.0009，0.06%)区，CPI小幅改善，提振欧元(1.3866，0.0009，0.06%)需求。我们概述一下欧元兑美元(1.3866，0.0009，0.06%)、英镑(1.6874，0.0024，0.14%)以及日元(102.208，0.048，0.05%)在本周五释放非农就业数据以及下周召开欧洲央行会议之前的表现。由于FOMC在昨日的会议上继续其温和态度，十国集团货币以及新兴市场货币兑美元全面上扬。...

EURUSD(1.3866，0.0009，0.06%)	GBPUSD(1.6874，0.0024，0.14%)	USDJPY(102.208，0.048，0.05%)	USDCHF(0.88，-0.0014，-0.16%)
Resistance and Support:

1.4001	1.7332	103.75	0.8953
1.3967	1.7043	103.06	0.893
1.3906	1.692	102.73	0.8862
1.3885	1.6905	102.2	0.8786
1.3781	1.6807	101.87	0.8771
1.3673	1.6763	101.33	0.8744
1.3594	1.6661	100.76	0.8699
S: Strong, M: Minor, T: Trendline, K: Keylevel, P: Pivot

Quick access to our 5 previous newsletters:

TIME (GMT)	EVENT	VALUE NAME	CONS.
Today's Economic Calendar

23:00	CPI	Core CPI (Cur Year)
		Core CPI (Cur Month)
		CPI Monthly	0.2
		CPI Yearly	1.6
23:30	Australian PMI	PMI
00:00	Trade data	Exports
		Trade Balance	3.9
		Imports YoY % Change	4.2
		Exports YoY % Change	6.9
		Imports
01:00	CFLP China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)	CFLP PMI	50.4
01:30	International Trade Price: Import
01:30	International Trade Price: Export
02:00	CIER PMI	CIER PMI
04:00	Trade Balance	Exports
		Imports
		Current Trade Balance
04:00	CPI	CPI % Chg on Year
		CPI % Chg on Month
		Core CPI
05:00	Auto sales	Domestic Auto Sales (on year)
05:00	Ireland Manufacturing PMI	PMI Mfg
06:30	Commodity Price Index	Y/Y, SDR
06:30	Commodity Price Index	M/M, SDR
07:00	Netherlands Manufacturing PMI	PMI, Manufacturing
07:00	Unemployment	Net S.Adj.	4.2
08:30	CIPS/PMI Manufacturing Index
08:30	M4 Money Supply
08:30	Bank of England effective interest rates
08:30	Money and Credit - Lending to Individuals, Lending to Businesses, Broad Money and Credit	Mortgage Lending, GBP
		Mortgage Approvals	72000
		Consumer Lending, GBP
		Consumer Credit, GBP	0.7
08:30	Monetary & Financial Statistics
08:30	CIPS / Markit Manufacturing PMI	Manufacturing Output	55
09:00	Danish PMI	PMI S.Adj.
11:30	Challenger Job-Cut Report	Job Cuts, M/M
12:30	Janet Yellen speech at the ICBA Washington Policy Summit
12:30	U.S. Weekly Export Sales	Soybeans, In Metric Tons
		Corn, In Metric Tons
		Wheat, In Metric Tons
12:30	Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims	Weekly Jobless Claims	320
		Weekly Jobless Claims Net Change
		Cont Jobless Claims (prior week)
		Cont Jobless Claims Net Chg (prior week)
12:30	Personal Income & Outlays	PCE Core Price Index Monthly	0.2
		Personal Spending	0.6
		PCE Core Price Index Yearly
		Personal Income	0.4
		PCE Price Index Yearly
		PCE Price Index Monthly
13:00	US Manufacturing PMI
13:30	Canada Manufacturing PMI
13:45	Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
14:00	Construction Spending - Construction Put in Place	New Construction	0.5
14:00	ISM Manufacturing Report on Business	Inventories
		Production Index
		New Orders Index
		Employment Index
		Manufacturing PMI	54.3
		Prices Index
14:00	DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer	DJ-BTMU Business Barometer (52 Wk)
14:00	DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer	DJ-BTMU Business Barometer
14:30	EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report	Total Working Gas in Storage (Net Change)	75
14:30	EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report	Total Working Gas in Storage	974
20:00	Domestic Auto Industry Sales	Annualized Vehicle Sales	16.2
20:30	Federal Discount Window Borrowings
20:30	Foreign Central Bank Holdings
20:30	Money Stock Measures



Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Market Analyst, Swissquote Bank

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